Showing posts with label Krugman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Krugman. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Its Krugman

Nobel Prize of Economics this year is fallen into Krugman's lap.

He got it for his contribution to trade and economic geography (Nobel citation here) but his role as columnist in Slate and New York Times is not less important. He is one of the consistent critic, with strong data and analysis, of Bush administration since beginning when everyone keep silent.

His explanation of monetary policy with baby sitting analogy (click here) is simply a masterpiece and who can forget that ideas move the world when couple of days after his famous column (click here) then Mahathir implement the highly successful capital control in Malaysia.

Three cheers for rigourous economist that also managed to communicate complex idea to the public.

Addendum:
Some post announcement analysis here, here and here as well as here

Friday, October 10, 2008

Krugman - Minister of Finance of the world, (please) unite!

Krugman always has a knack for explaining complicated economics stuff. This time he outdo himself (click here to read in full):
The current crisis started with a burst housing bubble, which led to widespread mortgage defaults, and hence to large losses at many financial institutions. That initial shock was compounded by secondary effects, as lack of capital forced banks to pull back, leading to further declines in the prices of assets, leading to more losses, and so on — a vicious circle of “deleveraging.” Pervasive loss of trust in banks, including on the part of other banks, reinforced the vicious circle.
...
But on Wednesday the British government, showing the kind of clear thinking that has been all too scarce on this side of the pond, announced a plan to provide banks with £50 billion in new capital — the equivalent, relative to the size of the economy, of a $500 billion program here — together with extensive guarantees for financial transactions between banks. And U.S. Treasury officials now say that they plan to do something similar, using the authority they didn’t want but Congress gave them anyway.

...

The question now is whether these moves are too little, too late. I don’t think so, but it will be very alarming if this weekend rolls by without a credible announcement of a new financial rescue plan, involving not just the United States but all the major players.

Why do we need international cooperation? Because we have a globalized financial system in which a crisis that began with a bubble in Florida condos and California McMansions has caused monetary catastrophe in Iceland. We’re all in this together, and need a shared solution.

Why this weekend? Because there happen to be two big meetings taking place in Washington: a meeting of top financial officials from the major advanced nations on Friday, then the annual International Monetary Fund/World Bank meeting Saturday and Sunday. If these meetings end without at least an agreement in principle on a global rescue plan — if everyone goes home with nothing more than vague assertions that they intend to stay on top of the situation — a golden opportunity will have been missed, and the downward spiral could easily get even worse.

What should be done? The United States and Europe should just say “Yes, prime minister.” The British plan isn’t perfect, but there’s widespread agreement among economists that it offers by far the best available template for a broader rescue effort.

And the time to act is now. You may think that things can’t get any worse — but they can, and if nothing is done in the next few days, they will.


Minister of Finance of the world, (please) unite!!