Saturday, April 18, 2009

Election conduct and election system

So many interesting things happened during this election, sometime hard to choose which one to focus on.

Should it be the meteoric rise of Democrat Party? or the plot within plot of coalition? or the disenfrachised voter by KPU incompetence?

But they all have been covered rather extensively. and so little coverage has been given to systemic analysis of election system. District system has many advantages that is sorely needed in a large and plural country like Indonesia. Thus I argued (click here)

Friday, April 03, 2009

Econoland


The Economist has a graphic, and hilarious, description on the global state of economy. Among the thrilling experiences Econoland will offer are:

The currency high-roller: Float like a butterfly with the euro and drop like a stone with the pound! Chamber of horrors: Tremble at the wailing of distressed debt! Fiscal fantasyland: Watch the economy shrivel before your very eyes as you struggle to stop growth falling! Bankrupt Britain: Pit your wits against the government as you try to sink sterling and bring the country to its knees! The Severe Contest: Try your strength against a bear market!


Click here to see it.


Thursday, April 02, 2009

Economist and Election



The economist magazine have an interesting article about Indonesian election (click here)

and Nurkholisoh, an old time friend, publish a splendid article on the Economics of Election (click here)

I am also still optimist on Indonesian democracy eventhough acknowledge there likely to be many, avoidable, glitches in this election... May the journey continue smoothly.

update:
Another excellent article (click here) on the Economist on Indonesia election

Sunday, March 29, 2009

Show off to buy less


Earth hour is a very interesting experiment. It turn the bandwagon effect upside down.

The standard bandwagon effect is to display consumption so peer pressure lead more people to consume similar item. It worked especially well on luxury and branded items.

But enviromental concern could also be treated as luxurious consumption item and peer pressure could be used in many ways. Slimming down and going to the gym is one example where it work to reduce consumption of high-fat substance.

The number is quite encouraging. Just in Chicago area it save 100 megawats of electricity (click here). Anyone has corresponding number for Indonesia?


Prabowonomics?


Have been reading some opinion article on Prabowonomics.

Among them are Teguh Dartanto in Koran Tempo, Bersihar Lubis in Medan Bisnis, Heri in his blog dan Vivanews feature.

Does it really deserve a school of thought by itself?

The strands of policy seems to have emphasis on role of the state and primary sector, with a healthy dose of scepticism to globalisation. Dartanto put forward a thoughful critics of some of its target.

Name-nomics is a good cacthphrase in the time of frenzy campaign. So I am looking forward to read more of SBY-nomics and Megawati-nomics as well as JK-nomics.

It would be interesting to have more debate on economic platform of each party though and less musical campaign.

Even though also quite likely that Indonesian campaign promises are, in Ron Ziegler's immortal argot, "inoperative" on the day after the election.


Saturday, March 28, 2009

Mother Nature's Wrath or Government Negligence?

Almost one hundred people dies and more than one hundred still missing in Situ Gintung tragedy.

It is a shock indeed. Especially since I live nearby.

Is it mother nature striking back due to lack of water absorbance or negligence by government? I think its a little bit of both.

Checking the bottom of dam is not a high priority in budget allocation. But maybe it should.

The incentive is heavy on building new infrastruture but much less on maintenance.

Deepest condolescent for many lost of life and livelihood



Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Debating the toxic


Fianally comes the long awaited Obama-Geithner plan (click here) to clean America's bank from toxic asset.

But Krugman attack the plan as causing despair. head investor won and tail investor loose. (click here)

If government is subsidizing private investor and protecting them from risk, why bother. Just do it directly and nationalize the bank. Those director should be held responsible for their action.

No more USD 165 million bonus after destroying the financial system.

Bradford de Long provided Q& A version of the plan here. But its positive tone is criticize by Krugman (click here).

Let the debate continue.


Friday, March 20, 2009

Stimulus and election


Never let a crisis goes to waste. Thus said Obama's chief of staff.

As election looming, this is a chance to propose something grand and visionary in stimulus without worry (too much) about inflation and international credit rating.

Must admit quite dispapponted with both the detail of stimulus (click here) and the way election candidates present themselves (click here).

Looking for silver lining and rainbow after the rain.


Sunday, February 22, 2009

The Economics of Money Politics


Money is the root of all evil. But money also make the world goes round. So I guess the trick is not to let evil bloom but keep it to stirs the world.

That is the same tricky balancing act to be done in campaign financing. The political party needs money but country as a whole loose when the party need more money than the money need the party.

A regulation is especially needed in Indonesia where income inequality is very wide. f allowed, some rich people could capture government policy and use it to their advantage with little regard for the rest of population.

My to cents worth (not sure can buy how many politician) in this article at Jakarta Post (click here).



Sunday, February 15, 2009

Of Dinosaur and Mammal


An economy deserve a second and third chance. Usually done by discarding old business and business model replace with new ones.

That is where entrepreneurship comes in.

An ossfied economy where the big dinosour continue to rule is not in interest of anyone, except maybe those dinosaur. That is why Indonesia need to use this crisis to ease entry barrier and improve climate for entrepeneurs.

After all, mammal was only come late in earth history. And now we are the most successful start up on this planet.

More on my Jakarta Post article (click here).